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SUMMARY:Olle Häggström (Chalmers University of Technology & University o
 f Gothenburg)
DTSTART:20221013T131500Z
DTEND:20221013T140000Z
DTSTAMP:20260422T155025Z
UID:gbgstats/4
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://researchseminars.org/talk/gbgstats/4/"
 >Anthropic reasoning and the hinge of history hypothesis</a>\nby Olle Häg
 gström (Chalmers University of Technology & University of Gothenburg) as 
 part of Gothenburg statistics seminar\n\nLecture held in MVL14.\n\nAbstrac
 t\nAmong researchers and scholars working on existential risk and the long
 -term future of humanity\, it has become increasingly common to speak of o
 ur present time as uniquely pivotal for the long-term future - a notion th
 at has become known under the term Hinge of History (HoH). Recently\, atte
 mpts have been made to formalize this concept and work out whether we real
 ly do live during the HoH. This involves not only a Bayesian analysis but 
 also controversial ideas in anthropic reasoning. I will review and critiqu
 e this work and arrive at a nuanced answer to the HoH question and its pra
 ctical ramifications.\n
LOCATION:https://researchseminars.org/talk/gbgstats/4/
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