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SUMMARY:Jeremy Chiu (SFU)
DTSTART:20260317T223000Z
DTEND:20260317T233000Z
DTSTAMP:20260513T185902Z
UID:SFUOR/71
DESCRIPTION:Title: <a href="https://researchseminars.org/talk/SFUOR/71/">T
 he Burden of Tuberculosis among Foreign-born Canadians - Estimates with Dy
 namic Models</a>\nby Jeremy Chiu (SFU) as part of PIMS-CORDS SFU Operation
 s Research Seminar\n\nLecture held in ASB 10908.\n\nAbstract\nDespite only
  comprising about a quarter of the total population of Canada\, foreign-bo
 rn individuals bear about three-quarters of the burden of active tuberculo
 sis (TB) cases. To investigate the impact of immigration on the burden of 
 TB among foreign-born Canadians\, we develop an SEIR-compartment model tha
 t distinguishes between actively infected\, latently infected\, and uninfe
 cted individuals.  Unknown parameters are calibrated to reports on the in
 cidence and prevalence of active TB in Canada.  We validate our model by 
 comparing model computed quantities to other estimates of tuberculosis bur
 den among foreign-born Canadians\, including an estimate of the prevalence
  of latent TB infection (LTBI) among immigrants entering Canada.  Our mod
 el predicts that among the foreign-born population\, Canada will not meet 
 the End TB 2035 goal of reducing incidence by 90% compared to 2015\, prima
 rily due to the activation of foreign-born Canadians with LTBI.\n
LOCATION:https://researchseminars.org/talk/SFUOR/71/
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